There are many a "what", "perhaps" and "if" to this, but hear me out.
One big "if" is whether San Marino will be present in Baku or not. San Marino's television channel is largely owned by Italian state tv RAI, so if Italy stays in (which they said they would in Düsseldorf) then San Marino is very likely to take part as well. San Marino participating at the Junior Eurovision this year is also a good sign.
Italy seems more likely to enter a relative newcomer (from a talent show or from the newcomer category of Sanremo) than to approach an established star to do the job for them.
San Marino on the other hand, could very well use a bit of star quality in order to promote themselves and make it into the final for the first time. They would need a hit single and someone able to perform it well enough to be a real scorer.
Eurovision can be a very important PR vehicle for a small nation like San Marino, and it works best if you get to the final where the audience is way larger than in the semis.
Tiziano Ferro, on the other hand, is a big name in the latin music world but could easily enlarge his popularity into new european territories. He is working on a new album, due for release late 2011, that could sell a lot more in northern Europe with some Eurovision exposure around it.
Tiziano's new album is also his first after coming out as gay in a magazine interview last year. Maybe he would need another focus for the press, something to take a bit of spotlight away from his private life, and then Eurovision would fit him like hand in glove.
Also, he is a good performer and would be a very welcome sight in Euroland.
Tiziano Ferro - Perdono
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